Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.012964 0.015091 0.017443 0.020233 0.023451 0.027045 0.031360
2025-12-28 0.010188 0.013038 0.016479 0.020934 0.026539 0.033350 0.042246
2026-01-04 0.008168 0.011346 0.015490 0.021269 0.029101 0.039324 0.053660
2026-01-11 0.006402 0.009568 0.013986 0.020570 0.030093 0.043329 0.063073
2026-01-18 0.005242 0.008365 0.012995 0.020312 0.031526 0.047997 0.073936
2026-01-25 0.004293 0.007275 0.011947 0.019735 0.032313 0.051728 0.083835
2026-02-01 0.003594 0.006436 0.011121 0.019323 0.033215 0.055652 0.094431
2026-02-08 0.003071 0.005789 0.010486 0.019087 0.034310 0.059935 0.106048
2026-02-15 0.002606 0.005156 0.009763 0.018568 0.034808 0.063227 0.116333
2026-02-22 0.002393 0.004948 0.009758 0.019309 0.037594 0.070731 0.134790
2026-03-01 0.002114 0.004565 0.009363 0.019255 0.038888 0.075690 0.149197
2026-03-08 0.001805 0.004067 0.008669 0.018512 0.038748 0.077949 0.158771
2026-03-15 0.001587 0.003730 0.008258 0.018301 0.039672 0.082426 0.173350
2026-03-22 0.001503 0.003672 0.008419 0.019300 0.043203 0.092448 0.200184
2026-03-29 0.001386 0.003519 0.008352 0.019801 0.045745 0.100766 0.224522
2026-04-05 0.001209 0.003191 0.007845 0.019243 0.045903 0.104121 0.238793
2026-04-12 0.001079 0.002957 0.007518 0.019049 0.046846 0.109251 0.257497
2026-04-19 0.000947 0.002694 0.007082 0.018531 0.046958 0.112551 0.272488
2026-04-26 0.000840 0.002478 0.006727 0.018155 0.047354 0.116522 0.289458
2026-05-03 0.000754 0.002304 0.006452 0.017938 0.048107 0.121393 0.309071
2026-05-10 0.000667 0.002110 0.006094 0.017453 0.048112 0.124473 0.324725
2026-05-17 0.000637 0.002079 0.006174 0.018152 0.051278 0.135630 0.361532
2026-05-24 0.000581 0.001960 0.005991 0.018102 0.052446 0.141921 0.386793